Probabilities of qualifying for the first group

Lebanon qualifies by occupying second place if it wins over Tajikistan and China fails to defeat Qatar. China qualifies by occupying second place if: it wins over Qatar or draws with Qatar and the Tajikistan-Lebanon match ends in a draw or loses to Qatar with a score of (1-2), (2-3). ), (3-4) etc... The match between Tajikistan and Lebanon ended in a goalless draw. Tajikistan qualifies by occupying second place if it: wins over Lebanon and China fails to win against Qatar, achieves a positive draw with Lebanon and China loses to Qatar, or draws negatively with Lebanon and China loses to Qatar By a difference of two or more goals. Note: If China loses to Qatar with a score of (0-1), and Tajikistan draws 0-0 with Lebanon, second place will be decided between China and Tajikistan through the Fair Play regulation.